Empire FGA
FC Bayern Munich · €50-55M from PSV · 1 Jul 2026 Tier 1 ✅ Full · FotMob/Wikipedia/press Tier 2/3 ❌ 0/12 · Pending match-log review 🇲🇦 World Cup 2026 breakout · fastest goal in tournament
Ismael Saibari
🇲🇦
FC Bayern Munich · AM Ex-PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie €50-55M · Contract 2031
34
AM/W · 25yr · 185cm · Terrassa (ESP) · Moroccan · Genk → PSV → Bayern Munich
Ismael
Saibari
AM CM / LW / ST Bundesliga · Germany Just Signed 🇲🇦 Morocco · AFCON + WC 2026
25
Born Jan 28 2001
19G · 8A
Final PSV season (all comps)
7.90
FotMob rating (Eredivisie)
2,145'
Eredivisie minutes 25-26
€50-55M
Bayern transfer fee
🇲🇦 World Cup 2026: scored in all 3 group games + winning penalty vs Netherlands (R16) Fastest goal of WC 2026 — 69 seconds vs Scotland, beats Ziyech's 2022 record 3× Eredivisie champion (23-24 · 24-25 · 25-26) + AFCON 2025 winner with Morocco ⚠️ 3-match ban (AFCON final "towel" incident, Jan 2026) — served, no bearing on Bayern move
Proxy FGA Rating
8.3
/ 10.0 · PROXY
Tier 1FotMob/Wiki/pressFull
Tier 2CompositePending
Tier 3Scout (Jim Totime)0/12 ❌
Data-only estimate from final PSV season · not the evidence-weighted FGA · see FGA Analytics for breakdown
€30.4M
FotMob transfer value
peak €31.2M · 1 Feb 2026
€50-55M fee
📊 DATA STATUS · TIER 1 COMPLETE (PUBLIC RECORD) · TIER 2/3 NOT YET SCOUTED
Every number here is sourced from FotMob, Wikipedia, and press coverage of the Bayern transfer and World Cup run (linked in Scouting Intel). Per Empire's evidence-first rule, OBI/SII/DMA/SPI Tier 3 metrics, Attribute ratings, and Philosophy Fit scores stay PENDING until match footage is logged — same standard applied to every card in this series.
🇲🇦 Beerschot / Anderlecht / Mechelen (youth) Genk (youth, to 2020) PSV Eindhoven (2020-2026 · 3× Eredivisie champion) FC Bayern Munich (€50-55M · to 2031)
19G · 8A
Final PSV season · all competitions
Best statistical season of his career, timed perfectly for a move. Eredivisie alone: 15 goals, 8 assists, 2,145 minutes across 27 matches (26 starts) at a 7.90 average FotMob rating — his highest of any season. First career hat-trick came 26 Oct 2025, away at Feyenoord (3-2 win). Bayern are paying €50-55M for a player coming off a career-best year, not projecting on potential.
⚽ SHOOTING — 15 GOALS FROM 12.95 xG (+2.05 OVERPERFORMANCE)
91 shots, 41% on target, 13 headers among them. He's scoring more than the underlying shot quality says he should — either finishing skill, or shot selection data that undersells him, or plain hot streak; Tier 3 video review is what actually tells those apart. 52 chances created (11 "big chances"), 8 assists from 7.41 xA — output and expectation match almost exactly on the creative side, unlike the shooting side.
🎯 CARRYING & DUELS — REAL NUMBERS, NO QUALITY SCORE YET
48 successful dribbles (56.5%), 175 touches in the opposition box, 38 times dispossessed — a high-volume, high-risk carrier. 52 defensive contributions, 47.3% duels won, 45.5% aerial — modest, unremarkable for an attacking midfielder, not a weakness worth flagging without seeing it live. Whether the dribble volume is smart risk-taking or just volume, and whether he tracks back with any real intent, is exactly what hasn't been scouted yet.
15
Goals · Eredivisie
+2.05 vs xG
8
Assists
7.41 xA
52
Chances created
11 big chances
48
Successful dribbles
56.5% success
7.90
Avg rating
Career-best season
47.3%
Duels won
Modest for AM
Profile
Full nameIsmael Saibari Ben El Basra
BornJan 28, 2001 · Terrassa, Spain 🇲🇦
Height185cm
ClubFC Bayern Munich
Transfer in€50-55M · 1 Jul 2026
ContractJun 30, 2031
Shirt no.34 (same as PSV)
NT status🇲🇦 Morocco · 27+ caps
Tier 3 Status
0/12 confirmed
All 12 T3 metrics (OBI_P/T/S, SII_A/T/R, DMA, SPI, CRS, CHR, MCS, CLM, OMS, DYN, CRK) are unscored. Match footage received (see Matches tab) but not yet reviewed for events.
Preliminary Data Verdict
A €50-55M attacking midfielder arriving off a career-best PSV season (19G/8A all comps) and a genuine World Cup breakout (fastest goal of the tournament, scorer in all 3 group games, winning penalty vs Netherlands). The underlying numbers back the fee: shot output, chance creation, and dribble volume all support "productive attacking midfielder," not just a World Cup hot streak.
Empire FGA Status — Not a Final Verdict
Tier 1 data-complete · Tier 2/3 unscored · FGA composite cannot be calculated. Whether his output translates to Bundesliga/UCL level, and whether the defensive gaps get exposed against elite opposition, is exactly what Tier 3 video review exists to answer.
Style Notes — Preliminary
Media/data, not scored
Statistical Radar
Raw % from real 25-26 totals
FotMob Rating Trend
Last 10 matches · real data
❌ ATTRIBUTES PENDING — 0/24 SCORED
Attribute circles (Technical/Mental/Physical) are a scouting judgment — exactly the layer Empire's "no score without evidence" rule protects. Every row below is left unscored until Jim logs timestamped match evidence. What follows is the category list only.
Technical / Attacking
Mental
Physical
Tier 1 — FotMob · Wikipedia · Press
Tier 2 — Composite
Pending
❌ NOT CALCULABLE YET
Tier 2 is derived directly from confirmed Tier 3 sub-metrics in Empire's methodology. Since Tier 3 is 0/12, Tier 2 has nothing to composite from.
FGA Weighting Breakdown
Season Context
Final PSV season (2025-26)
Eredivisie: Champions (27th title) · 26 starts, 2,145'
Europe: 7 apps, 3 goals (Wikipedia)
2025-26 hat-trick: vs Feyenoord (A), 26 Oct 2025
Now: FC Bayern Munich · squad #34 · to 2031
Proxy FGA Rating — 8.3 / 10 · Methodology
Tier 1 estimate only · not the evidence-weighted FGA
⚠️ Read before citing this number
Empire's real FGA is 20% Tier 1 / 30% Tier 2 / 50% Tier 3. With Tier 2/3 both empty, that formula can't run. This 8.3 is a substitute built only from public Tier 1 numbers, weighted toward an attacking midfielder's core job (goal threat, creativity, carrying) — it will very likely move once real match evidence is scored, especially once he's assessed against Bundesliga/UCL-level opposition rather than Eredivisie.
Tier 3 · Awaiting Scout Assessment · 0 Matches Reviewed
Footage received, not yet scouted
Per the Empire Agent 1/2 workflow: paste timestamped match observations (minute, second, description, confidence) for Saibari and I'll structure them into OBI/SII/DMA/SPI/CRS/CHR/MCS/CLM/OMS/DYN/CRK evidence logs and calculate scores from that evidence — not the other way around.
OBI Off-Ball Intelligence ❌ PENDING
SII Sprint Intensity Index ❌ PENDING
STYLE NOTES — PRELIMINARY (MEDIA & DATA), NOT A SCORED PHILOSOPHY FIT
Rather than assign fake fit percentages against Michels/Cruyff/Guardiola, the traits below are pulled straight from published scouting commentary (The National, FIFA.com, beIN Sports, AP) and are qualitative only.
Sourced Style Descriptors
Tournament's "breakthrough star" ahead of Brahim Díaz (The National) Explosive early-game threat — fastest WC 2026 goal (69s) Positionally flexible — AM / CM / LW / ST (FotMob) High-volume dribbler/carrier — 48 successful/game season Big-game producer — hat-trick vs Feyenoord, penalty vs Netherlands Clean disciplinary base — 2 YC, 0 RC (25-26 Eredivisie)
FotMob's own positional data lists him across four roles (AM/CM/LW/ST) — consistent with Bosz using him centrally and wide depending on matchup. That's a real, sourced tactical detail, not a scouted judgment about how well he executes in each slot.
Philosophy Fit Radar
Not available — Tier 3 required
Philosophy Fit scoring (Michels / Cruyff / Guardiola / Lobanovskyi weightings) runs on Tier 3 evidence logs. 0 matches scouted → chart withheld rather than shown with invented numbers.
Career Timeline
Born Jan 28, 2001 · Terrassa, Spain
Spanish-born, Moroccan family, raised in Belgium. Family from Ksar el-Kebir, Morocco; moved to Willebroek, Belgium at age six. Youth spells at Beerschot, Anderlecht, KV Mechelen, then Genk.
29 Jul 2020 · PSV Eindhoven · 3-year deal
Netherlands move. Signed from Genk's youth setup, initially featuring for Jong PSV in the Eerste Divisie (55 apps, 9 goals over three seasons).
1 Nov 2020 · Eredivisie debut
First-team bow. Substitute for Mario Götze in a 4-0 win over ADO Den Haag.
Aug 2023 · Champions League breakthrough
Statement month. First PSV goal 19 Aug 2023 (away at Vitesse); scored twice in a 5-1 UCL play-off win over Rangers, earning Man of the Match and sending PSV into the group stage. Contract extended to 2028 that September. First UCL goal followed 29 Nov 2023, away at Sevilla.
2023-24 · Eredivisie champion (25th title)
Breakout domestic season. 31 apps, 8 goals as PSV won the title.
2024-25 · Eredivisie champion again (26th title)
Regular starter. 44 apps, 15 goals, 13 assists in all competitions — Eredivisie Team of the Month Nov 2024 and Apr 2025.
26 Oct 2025 · First career hat-trick
Away at Feyenoord. 3-2 win in Rotterdam — his first senior hat-trick.
18 Jan 2026 · AFCON 2025 final chaos
Two separate incidents, same match. In the Rabat final vs Senegal, Saibari drew a personal 3-match ban for a "towel" incident involving ball boys and Senegal keeper Édouard Mendy. Separately, Senegal players walked off during stoppage time in protest at a disallowed goal and refused to return — CAF's Appeal Board later ruled it a forfeit, converting Senegal's 1-0 extra-time win into a 3-0 default win for Morocco. Morocco were declared champions 57 days after the final actually finished.
2025-26 · Career-best PSV season
27th Eredivisie title. 15 goals, 8 assists, 2,145 minutes, 7.90 average rating across 27 Eredivisie appearances — his statistical peak, timed right before his exit.
Jun 2026 · World Cup 2026 breakout
Fastest goal of the tournament. 69 seconds vs Scotland in Boston, beating Hakim Ziyech's 4-minute record from 2022. Scored in all three Morocco group games, then converted the winning penalty vs Netherlands to send Morocco into the last 16 — drew level with Youssef En-Nesyri as Morocco's all-time World Cup top scorer.
1 Jul 2026 · FC Bayern Munich · €50-55M · to 2031
Career-high move, mid-tournament. Bayern agreed the fee with PSV while Saibari was still with Morocco at the World Cup. Five-year contract, keeps squad number 34.
FotMob Rating — Last 10 Matches
Real data · club + Morocco NT mixed
Transfer Ladder
Genk → PSVFree/undisclosed (2020, youth move)
PSV → Bayern Munich€50-55M (1 Jul 2026)
Transfer value (FotMob)€30.4M peak €31.2M (Feb '26)
ContractJun 30, 2031
13 career titles per FotMob: 3× Eredivisie, 4× Dutch Super Cup, 2× KNVB Cup, AFCON 2025, FIFA Arab Cup 2025, U23 AFCON 2023, Premier League Int'l Cup
Season-by-Season Register
SeasonClubCompetitionAppsGoalsNotes
2020-21 → 22-23Jong PSVEerste Divisie559Development spell
2022-23PSVEredivisie + Europe280Squad rotation year
2023-24PSVEredivisie + UCL318🏆 Eredivisie champions (25th) · UCL breakthrough (2 v Rangers)
2024-25PSVEredivisie + UCL4415🏆 Eredivisie champions (26th) · 13 assists · 2× Team of Month
2025-26PSVEredivisie + Europe36 (all comps)19🏆 Champions (27th) · career-best season · hat-trick vs Feyenoord · → Bayern €50-55M
Career total at PSV (Wikipedia, as of 11 Apr 2026) 196 apps · 51 goals
Data-Driven Scouting Report — Preliminary
Public sources only · Tier 3 not conducted
Ismael Saibari is a 25-year-old Moroccan attacking midfielder, signed by FC Bayern Munich from PSV Eindhoven on 1 July 2026 for a fee reported between €50M and €55M. Born 28 January 2001 in Terrassa, Spain, to a Moroccan family from Ksar el-Kebir; moved to Willebroek, Belgium at age six. 185cm, right-footed. Contract to 30 June 2031, keeps squad number 34. This report is built entirely from public statistical sources (FotMob, Wikipedia) and press coverage of his transfer and World Cup run — it is not a Tier 3 video-scouted assessment.
Career-best exit season — 15 goals, 8 assists, 2,145 Eredivisie minutes, 7.90 average rating (FotMob, 2025-26). Joined PSV in July 2020 from Genk's youth system, broke through with Jong PSV, made his Eredivisie debut 1 Nov 2020 as a sub for Mario Götze. Became a first-team fixture from 2023-24 (31 apps, 8 goals, Eredivisie title), stepped up further in 2024-25 (44 apps, 15G/13A, second title), and peaked in his final PSV season with 19 goals in all competitions and a first career hat-trick (26 Oct 2025, away at Feyenoord).
Shooting output — 91 shots, 15 goals from 12.95 xG (+2.05), 41% on target (FotMob). Overperforming expected goals by two full goals across a season is a real signal, but on its own it can't distinguish elite finishing from a run of good luck or shot-quality mismeasurement — that distinction is exactly what match-level video review would resolve, and hasn't been done here.
Creation and carrying — 52 chances created (11 "big"), 8 assists from 7.41 xA, 48 successful dribbles at 56.5%, 175 touches in the opposition box (FotMob). A high-involvement attacking profile: he's not just finishing, he's generating and carrying into the box in volume. 38 times dispossessed in the same sample says the carrying comes with turnover risk.
Defensive/duel numbers — 52 defensive contributions, 33 tackles, 47.3% duels won, 45.5% aerial (FotMob). Unremarkable for the position, not concerning on the numbers alone. Whether that's positional discipline or lack of defensive engagement needs footage, not box scores.
World Cup 2026 — genuine breakout, not hype. Scored the tournament's fastest goal (69 seconds vs Scotland, beating Ziyech's 4-minute mark from 2022), scored in all three Morocco group matches, and converted the winning penalty against the Netherlands to send Morocco into the round of 16 — drawing level with Youssef En-Nesyri as Morocco's all-time World Cup scorer. Multiple outlets (The National, beIN Sports, Al Jazeera) independently framed him as the tournament's breakthrough star ahead of the more-hyped Brahim Díaz.
Off-pitch note — AFCON 2025 final (18 Jan 2026). Saibari personally drew a 3-match suspension for an incident involving ball boys and Senegal's Édouard Mendy. Separately, Senegal's own walkout during stoppage time led CAF to later void their 1-0 win and award Morocco the title by forfeit (3-0), a ruling that landed 57 days after the match itself. Two distinct storylines worth keeping separate when reviewing this period's footage.
Empire FGA Status Note
Tier 1 data-complete · Tier 2/3 not scored · No final FGA composite. The numbers support a €50-55M attacking midfielder coming off a genuine peak season and a real World Cup moment. What they can't yet tell you: whether the finishing overperformance holds, whether the defensive gaps get punished at Bundesliga/UCL level, or how the World Cup form translates to a new league entirely. Paste timestamped match observations to move this card from data-only to fully scored.
All Tier 1 Season Totals (Final PSV Season)
Tier 3 Event Log
0 events · not yet scouted
No match footage has been reviewed for events yet.
This panel will populate with timestamped OBI/SII/DMA/SPI events once Jim reviews the match video on file.